A Hype Hangover occurs when community belief grows faster than evidence.

The community becomes emotionally invested in a future outcome before the underlying reality has fully materialised. When reality fails to match expectations quickly enough, enthusiasm begins to cool and the community enters a period of recalibration.

Signals

• Excessive optimism
• Future focused conversations
• FOMO driven behaviour
• Expectations disconnected from current reality
• Sudden increase in scepticism after a period of excitement

Community Intelligence Question

Has belief outpaced evidence?

Insight

The bigger the gap between belief and evidence, the larger the Hype Hangover.